The Welsh Government Business, Enterprise, Technology
and Science Minister, Edwina Hart, established a task & finish group in
November 2011 to consider the potential role of city regions in the future
economic development of Wales. Their task is; to decide, on the basis of objective evidence, whether
a city region approach to economic development will deliver an increase in jobs
and prosperity for Wales as a whole. If this is the case, what parts of Wales
should be included and why, and what is needed for the approach to be
successful?
The introduction to the Task & Finish Group’s
paper - ‘City Regions’ Definition &
Criteria raises a number of immediate issues, the first and foremost being the
suggestion that the Welsh Government would need to see very compelling evidence
before committing to such an approach. This may be my subjective (cynical?) reading
of the following;
City Regions are a tool, not a panacea. The approach provides one
potential solution to policy or market failure.
The city region approach is a long term one – 20, 30 or 40 years. It
requires developing a vision for the future: 2030 is now closer to us than 1990 …
Access to economic mass, skills, transport are important enablers of
growth,productivity and innovation.
Successful international city regions tend to have a core theme/focus:
Vancouver (airport); Bilbao (culture); Lille (connectivity); Rotterdam
(logistics).
Co-operation on (a) regionally significant project(s) should come first,
followed by strategy/vision. Governance should be tackled last.
I query the statement that ‘City
Regions are a tool, not a panacea’ for, in my
view, city regions are a given, economically, socially and culturally and have
been through the course of human settlement. Great cities attract the brightest
and the best, those that adapt and change remain great. Cities compete with
cities for the investment and development capital, not regions against regions.
Can you name what ‘regions’ Vancouver, Bilbao, Lille and Rotterdam are in? Possibly,
but the point to be made is the city is
the ‘bigger brand’. The suggestion
is that for Wales, or its sub-regions, to prosper economically, socially and
culturally we need to have strong cities. Is the Task and Finish Group then
asking the right questions? Further concerns are raised with their statement
that ‘Co-operation on (a) regionally
significant project(s) should come first, followed by strategy/vision.
Governance should be tackled last.’
My proposition is that governance is central to the issue
and is not something to be ‘tackled last’. Wales appears to have a surfeit of
government and a paucity of governance. Cities should by their very nature be
centres of excellence and reflect that concentration of excellence in their
civic administration –governance. Strong, healthy, dynamic cities regenerate
themselves but in Wales regeneration has become a byword for government
intervention. We have too many small unitary authorities, perhaps too small to
attract and retain the excellent. Furthermore we have seen these authorities competing
amongst each other for the investment and development capital (i.e. financial
subsistence) allocated by the regional government. Tribalism and parochial interest has bedeviled
constructive discussion and any progress in advancing effective city regional
strategy in the past.
I will focus here on the capital, Cardiff, to explore
this point further. There are those in the capital who have claimed that
regional investment has been dictated by an ‘ABC policy’ (Anywhere But Cardiff)
and they in turn reminded that they had many fences to mend with their
neighbours. This was manifested on the publication of the document Cardiff- A Proud Capital which many outside
the city interpreted differently – ‘proud’ as in ‘selfish and arrogant’. Over a
long period the city has been envied and unloved by its neighbours. To advance
and develop any ‘co-operation on (a)
regionally significant project(s)’ we must necessarily address the
‘concentric circles of self- interest’ that exist in Wales. What little
progress has been made with collaborative working must be consolidated but a
city region might only succeed if Cardiff can demonstrate effective, productive
and beneficial civic leadership. If its civic leaders are unable to persuade its
citizens and the people of Wales of the advantages of a strong capital we
cannot persuade anyone else. This relates to what JK Galbraith called ‘the
bi-modal symmetry of power.’ The majority must recognize that Cardiff is the
defined and established centre and be persuaded to accept that it is a credible
international ‘brand’. The operative word is credible- real and achievable- not selected from the portfolio of marketing consultants. Whilst generally critical of the persistent obsession with
branding, identity and image I have to concede it is an essential element.Throughout history mankind has sought a collective
identity, frequently that afforded by a city. The key word here may be SOUGHT –
it has to be something they want to be part of. If the ‘bi-modal symmetry of
power’ is to be realized the people of Wales have to really believe in Cardiff.
The challenge is therefore for Cardiff develop an identity and implement a
vision that everyone wants to be part of. This may be achieved if a compelling
case is made with evident and tangible benefits for all, not the publication of yet more pretentious
claims. We have witnessed the manifest failure of attempting to become a clone
of Barcelona, Bilbao and Baltimore (although, viewed from Penarth on a sunny day,
the skyline of Cardiff Bay does now look a lot like Benidorm.)
This of course proposes that strong and effective civic
leadership may be part of the solution in Cardiff but the more cynical might suggest
that it may not be in the political interest of the Welsh Government to have a
strong and more autonomous city. I have referred above to the perceptions of
the ‘ABC Policy’ and ‘concentric circles of self- interest’. For many this was
manifested in the Wales Spatial Plan (WSP) – People, Places, Futures which was
originally adopted by the National Assembly for Wales in November 2004. Whilst
that Plan recognized the importance of the capital city it appeared to have no
practical effect. Certainly as regards the capital someone found it hard to use
the word Cardiff when writing the Wales Spatial Plan. As I recall the preferred
euphemism at the time was ‘capital region’. Any questioning of this at the time
was met with the response by officers of the Assembly Government that such
discussion would not be viewed favourably. To explicitly challenge it might
prejudice the necessary investment and resources that the capital needs to
succeed. Put simply the terminology used may be interpreted as an implicit but
pervasive threat that the city must ‘toe the line’ as regards regional
governmental policy. This may not be considered surprising if the WSP were seen
only as an expression of the policy and of the priorities of Assembly. Or
indeed its superior authority – that’s realpolitik for you.
However, for others, the WSP read as a catalogue of
constraint not an enunciation of the opportunity afforded by the city and again
this must surely need to be addressed under the term ‘governance’. As stated above
the importance of the city is a given and, in my own direct experience in the property and construction industry the region is clearly
defined by the property and related markets. Property values as a measure and
indicator evidence the city as the apex of such markets. However both the
industry and the professions also recognize that cities do not and cannot exist
in isolation and the city region is a given. They must co-exist and work with
and for their hinterland to prosper. High property values and the levels of
economic activity that generate them are simply not sustainable without an
effective engagement with the region, the most obvious example being in the
available supply of suitable labour in successful urban centres. The quality of
that labour force, their education, housing, entertainment, ease of access to
the city and all other factors must necessarily be taken into account by the
commercial property developer. The property and construction industry may only be
motivated to participate in this debate through self- interest but that
interest necessarily extends to the city region. It might have been wise to
have had someone from that industry on the Task and Finish Group – or any
commercial industry- to ensure effective engagement. That said, there are many
in industry and the commercial professions in Wales now suffering from
consultation fatigue.
Having focused on Cardiff to rehearse some of the governance
issues we might then turn to other city regions. Swansea Bay/ Ospreylia is
perhaps the most obvious candidate and one where moves have been made on
cooperation on regionally significant projects. The fragility of such
arrangements may best be illustrated by the proposed new research and
innovation campus for Swansea University which would largely be located
in the adjoining borough of Neath and Port Talbot. In that connection I will
refer to only those matters in the public domain, for example, that the members
of Swansea City Council overruled their officers and opposed the planning application
submitted to Neath and Port Talbot. It might be suggested that they would not
have opposed that application had the subject land been within the City.
At best an uneasy truce is maintained on matters which
impact across current political boundaries such as the location of and access
to new schools in adjoining boroughs, planning for retail parks and superstores,
waste disposal, highways,etc. For this to be an effective city region the
matter of governance is unavoidable for, at best, co-operation is wasteful in
terms of human resources within the three authorities ‘co-operating’. The three
unitary authorities in that area are to be commended for making what progress
they have and we can only speculate as to whether they would have made three
times the progress if they were one authority.
We then turn from Ospreylia to perhaps the more thorny
subject of Carport. Newport has been designated a city, has historically served
a region and continues to do so. However, in many areas- economically, socially
and culturally- it clearly falls under the penumbra of Cardiff. To use again a
simple anecdotal example from the property market, the received wisdom is that
the business parks at J28 of the M4 – Cleppa Park, Celtic Lakes et al- would be
more successful if they had a Cardiff postcode and telephone number. It might
be reasonably assumed that hell will freeze solid before Newport becomes an
eastern suburb of Cardiff. The Task and Finish Group then has to ask what
practical benefit would the notion of ‘city region’ confer on Newport? It
clearly cannot compete with Cardiff or Bristol so what rationale
could be conjured up to support such a strategy? In addressing this the Group
must then raise questions as to the role and purpose of these cities as the
locomotives of regional regeneration. Answers may not be easily found in the proposition
that ‘Successful international city
regions tend to have a core theme/focus: Vancouver (airport); Bilbao (culture);
Lille (connectivity); Rotterdam (logistics)’.
By my recollection Vancouver has a bit more going for
it than an airport. That said none of our cities have anything going for them
if we rely on our present airport. As to connectivity they are on the western
side of an island to the North West of Europe so logistics would be illogical. So
what, in the jargon of the marketers, is their Unique Selling Proposition? What
are the features of our cities that will attract the attention of the brightest
and best?
This may be broadly termed ‘culture’. In a 2006 paper on
the future of Cardiff I offered three themes that I had some personal empathy
with. They were entertainment, education and experiment and I outlined how the
three might be interrelated as regards their contribution to a dynamic urban
centre.
ENTERTAINMENT
At that time there was still discussion regarding the
failure of Cardiff to secure the status as a Capital of Culture and I suggested
that a problem with such contests was not least the definition of ‘culture’. I
understood that it was taken in a wider sense for the purposes of that particular
civic beauty parade and not solely confined to the arts. However it is defined
it may be accepted that Cardiff and Wales have an established tradition of
active participation and success in collective and populist entertainment. The
word ‘collective’ again provides the thread in this argument in that
historically we have had also had traditions of such collective participation
in arts and culture whether these be choirs, brass bands or amateur
theatricals. Whilst such practices have declined Cardiff and Wales evidence
continued social and physical engagement with activities such as sport and
other performing arts. Many people will still go to a place at some expense and
personal discomfort to be part of a social event despite the availability of
digital entertainment. Welsh
entertainers continue to achieve wider distinction and renown.
Continuing this theme it may be suggested that we have
a particular ‘disposition to social life’ and that participation in such
activity evidences a general love of life. If so then I suggest it is an
attractive proposition and we may do a lot worse than reinforcing hwyl as a
native tendency rather than striving to import any alien characteristics. As to
the city, widespread recognition that it offers a diverse and rich range of
entertainment must be considered an asset.
The Capital of Culture bid by Cardiff outlined what is
needed in terms of developing and rounding out the offer, particularly in the
visual arts and full engagement with the wider community - in the widest sense.
The emphasis is on inclusivity not exclusivity and engaging the maximum number
of people.
EDUCATION
My 2006 notes were originally prepared for people who speculate on futures through property investment and development. As with the reality of a city region many of them may take it as a given that the future is about what the young will do not what the old have done. Developing, attracting and retaining the brightest and best is essential for the future of the city. Asking what we can do to facilitate and enable greater national and international recognition as a centre of learning and research must be a central question.
It is obvious to those who accept the city region as a
given as defined by its catchment area of skilled labour that this would be one
of the biggest university towns in country if better defined. Linking back to
the foregoing point on entertainment and amenity the attractions of Cardiff
must undeniably attract and benefit students at Pontypridd and Newport. That
gives the region an exciting and dynamic young population, a highly skilled
workforce which might potentially provide the entrepreneurial and innovative
commercial base we need. In short an available workforce which is clearly
superior to that available elsewhere.
I hasten to add that this does not support the notion that
merging higher education establishments in Cardiff, Treforest and Newport into
a single institution may be beneficial. That is an entirely separate issue
which I will be deal with in another blog.
EXPERIMENT
As with any commercial enterprise we can only succeed
by innovation. A depressing aspect of Cardiff-
A Proud Capital was the emphasis placed upon the development of an enlarged
and enclosed shopping centre, another football stadium and an ‘international
sports village’. These amenities may add to the diversity and range of
entertainment outlined above but differ little from any town and city bidding
to be shortlisted for a super casino. In hindsight that document did in fact
appear to be merely something produced to that end.
We will not achieve distinction by borrowing ideas.
Unless we can genuinely claim originality and be seen as a place where new
ideas are formed we will not have a future. The caveat on Higher Education
above is again relevant and the pursuit of excellence dealt with in another
blog. In the context of the city region debate it is relevant in the sense that
we must necessarily decide whether we are going to back winners or subsidise
losers.
Coupled with these three themes there is of course the
role of the city in commerce. The Task and Finish Group must necessarily
consider the historic role of the city as a place of exchange and
how that may be perpetuated. For as long as people have gathered together for
mutual defence and worship they have also gathered at market and that function,
I suggest, will continue. The National Assembly may wish to distribute wealth
more evenly and it is a worthy objective. We will however by attempting to buck
a trend of several thousand years if we try to prevent people gathering at the
largest convenient market. Further advances in information technology will inevitably
lead to more changes in working,
shopping and social habits but will not completely replace major commercial and
cultural centres. That may be due in part to mankind’s disposition to social
life and well established patterns of behaviour such as the collective pursuit
of abundance